Evaluate a settlement offer with a simple decision tree

Help me evaluate a settlement offer against the alternative of continuing the dispute. Dispute summary: [SHORT] Our side: [claimant / defendant] Offer on the table: [amount and key terms - payment timing, confidentiality, admissions, releases, non-money terms] Our estimates (from the legal team): - Probability of winning on liability: [%] - Likely damages range if we win / lose: [AMOUNTS] - Remaining legal costs through trial and appeal: [AMOUNT] - Time to final outcome: [MONTHS] - Chance of collecting a judgment: [% - relevant if claimant] - Fee shifting or costs risk: [DETAILS] Non-money factors: [e.g. precedent for other claims, publicity, relationship, management time, insurance coverage] Do this: 1. Build a simple decision tree with each branch, its probability, and net outcome after costs. 2. Calculate the expected value of continuing and compare it to the offer; show the arithmetic. 3. Run a sensitivity check: how the answer changes if the win probability moves by plus or minus 15 points, or costs run 30% over. 4. Weigh the non-money factors separately; do not force them into a number. 5. List settlement terms worth negotiating beyond the amount (release scope, confidentiality, no admission, payment schedule, tax treatment [CONFIRM WITH TAX ADVISOR]). 6. Suggest a counteroffer range and the reasoning. Use only the estimates I give; mark any missing input as [ESTIMATE NEEDED]. This is decision support, not legal advice; the responsible lawyer and the decision-maker must make the final call.