# Extract and track the predictions in an article or talk

Pulls every forecast from content into a table with timeframe, confidence, and how to check later whether it came true.

- Topic: Research & Summaries
- Framework: RTF
- Level: Standard
- Tags: Writing, Rewrite & Edit, Research, Fill-in Template
- Source: https://www.thinkwithprompt.com/prompts/extract-and-track-the-predictions-in-an-article-or-talk

## Prompt

```text
Extract every prediction from the content below so I can track whether it comes true.

**Content:** [PASTE ARTICLE, TRANSCRIPT, REPORT, OR THREAD]
**Who made the predictions:** [AUTHOR / SPEAKER and when it was published]
**What I'll use this for:** [e.g. "accountability tracker", "investment research notes", "fact-check a pundit"]

Rules:
- Include only forward-looking claims about what will happen. Skip opinions, recommendations, and descriptions of the present.
- Quote or closely paraphrase; do not strengthen or soften the claim. If a prediction is vague ("AI will change everything"), still include it and mark it Not testable.
- Use the timeframe and confidence only if the source states or clearly implies them. Otherwise write "Not stated." Never invent dates or probabilities.

Return:
1. A table: # | Prediction (max 15 words) | Speaker | Timeframe | Stated confidence | Testable? (Yes / Partly / No) | How to verify (the specific data, event, or source that would settle it) | Check-back date.
2. For each "Partly" or "No," a rewritten version that would be testable, clearly labeled as my rewording, not the source's.
3. Hedges and escape hatches: phrases that would let the speaker claim success whatever happens.
4. A short note on any predictions that contradict each other.
```

## What to fill in

- PASTE ARTICLE, TRANSCRIPT, REPORT, OR THREAD
- AUTHOR / SPEAKER and when it was published

Free to copy and use. From ThinkWithPrompt (https://www.thinkwithprompt.com/), a library of 2,663 curated AI prompts.